Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

307.41 – 180.64

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

267 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 44.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 433.7 ±10.5

10133Manhattan Monsters

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 72.29Rank 23Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 185.23Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 49.89Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 380.8 ±10.4

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 81.46Rank 14Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 68.59Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8889Project W

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 30.59Rank 25Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10133, 176, 2170

/ 100 compat

Projected

307.4 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10133, 176, 2170

Auto

39.8 13%

Teleop

180.3 60%

Endgame

79.2 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 228, 177, 8889

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.6 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 228, 177, 8889

Auto

23.4 13%

Teleop

85.9 49%

Endgame

66.4 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.1 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score307.4pts

Blue projected score180.6pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 126.8
Score range: 130–358
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 497 vs event baseline 281.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

433.7Season APEX380.8

39.8Auto23.4

180.3Teleop85.9

79.2Endgame66.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	60
teleop	106	116
endgame	101	54
foul	0	0
total	267	230

Result

Final score

267 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 44.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree