Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

136.1 – 267.11

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

22 – 345

Prediction correct · off by 96 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 272.7 ±11.7

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 53.71Rank 11Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11409Alchemist's Return

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 35.2Rank 24Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 47.19Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 404.4 ±10.4

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 170.39Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3654TechTigers

Season APEX 82Event APEX 25.57Rank 27Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3146GRANBY GRUNTS

Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 71.15Rank 7Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 178, 11409, 999

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.1 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 178, 11409, 999

Auto

34.0 27%

Teleop

64.8 51%

Endgame

28.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1699, 3654, 3146

/ 100 compat

Projected

267.1 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1699, 3654, 3146

Auto

64.7 25%

Teleop

157.6 61%

Endgame

36.4 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score136.1pts

Blue projected score267.1pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -131
Score range: 84–319
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 367 vs event baseline 290.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

272.7Season APEX404.4

34Auto64.7

64.8Teleop157.6

28.9Endgame36.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	65
teleop	3	200
endgame	3	80
foul	0	0
total	22	345

Result

Final score

22 – 345

Prediction correct · off by 96 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree