Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

343.14 – 130.05

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

321 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 32.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 401.5 ±10.4

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 33.09Rank 11Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 250.92Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 59.13Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.8 ±11.6

10133Manhattan Monsters

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 37.84Rank 23Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4572Barlow Robotics

Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 40.83Rank 15Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 51.38Rank 9Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 178, 1699, 1071

/ 100 compat

Projected

343.1 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 178, 1699, 1071

Auto

69.6 20%

Teleop

188.3 55%

Endgame

84.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10133, 4572, 1991

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.1 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10133, 4572, 1991

Auto

33.2 26%

Teleop

55.1 43%

Endgame

39.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.48 · Blue 0.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score343.1pts

Blue projected score130.1pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 213.1
Score range: 75–398
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 408 vs event baseline 303.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

401.5Season APEX235.8

69.6Auto33.2

188.3Teleop55.1

84.2Endgame39.9

84Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	39
teleop	162	26
endgame	75	22
foul	0	0
total	321	87

Result

Final score

321 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 32.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree