Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

503.44 – 441.58

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

523 – 471

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 586.8 ±9.8

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 22.38Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 249.97Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 231.09Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 642.1 ±9.9

4572Barlow Robotics

Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 39.49Rank 15Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 153.49Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 248.6Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2170, 1699, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

503.4 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2170, 1699, 195

Auto

98.5 20%

Teleop

266.9 54%

Endgame

130.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4572, 7407, 176

/ 100 compat

Projected

441.6 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4572, 7407, 176

Auto

103.4 24%

Teleop

227.0 52%

Endgame

105.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score503.4pts

Blue projected score441.6pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 61.9
Score range: 388–557
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 994 vs event baseline 298.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

586.8Season APEX642.1

98.5Auto103.4

266.9Teleop227

130.4Endgame105.2

50Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	114	118
teleop	263	229
endgame	141	109
foul	5	15
total	523	471

Result

Final score

523 – 471

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 pts