Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

513.8 – 446.56

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

453 – 409

Prediction correct · off by 49.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 586.8 ±9.8

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 25.89Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 253.51Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 234.4Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 642.1 ±9.9

4572Barlow Robotics

Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 41.57Rank 15Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 155.73Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 249.26Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2170, 1699, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

513.8 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2170, 1699, 195

Auto

97.6 19%

Teleop

278.7 55%

Endgame

129.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4572, 7407, 176

/ 100 compat

Projected

446.6 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4572, 7407, 176

Auto

100.9 23%

Teleop

226.4 52%

Endgame

112.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score513.8pts

Blue projected score446.6pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample86alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.2
Score range: 394–567
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 862 vs event baseline 295.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

586.8Season APEX642.1

97.6Auto100.9

278.7Teleop226.4

129.4Endgame112.3

40Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	104	118
teleop	212	225
endgame	132	66
foul	5	0
total	453	409

Result

Final score

453 – 409

Prediction correct · off by 49.2 pts