Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
370.92 – 254.89
81%19%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
380 – 292
Prediction correct · off by 23.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 668.3 ±11.2
Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 38.18Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 201.41Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 131.33Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 622 ±11.7
Season APEX 103Event APEX 35.38Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 246.4Event APEX 97.24Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 272.6Event APEX 122.27Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8334, 9068, 4499
81
/ 100 compatProjected
370.9 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 8334, 9068, 4499
Auto
79.5 22%
Teleop
203.4 57%
Endgame
73.9 21%
Strengths
- · 9068 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 1977, 1619, 2996
79
/ 100 compatProjected
254.9 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 1977, 1619, 2996
Auto
46.7 19%
Teleop
130.9 53%
Endgame
69.8 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.21 · Blue 1.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score370.9pts
Blue projected score254.9pts
Red win probability81%
Event bonus sample164alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 116
- Score range
- 223–403
- Upset likelihood
- 19%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
668.3Season APEX622
79.5Auto46.7
203.4Teleop130.9
73.9Endgame69.8
14Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 88 | 74 |
| teleop | 194 | 112 |
| endgame | 98 | 106 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 380 | 292 |
Result
Final score
380 – 292
Prediction correct · off by 23.1 pts
Match videos
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