Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

362.29 – 121.79

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

404 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 32.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 668.3 ±11.2

8334Titan Robotics

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 35.57Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9068The Chargers

A+

Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 198.57Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 128.15Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 337.6 ±12.8

159Alpine Robotics

Season APEX 69.9Event APEX 36.11Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

10114Phantom Talons

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 38.4Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4293Komodo

Season APEX 136.2Event APEX 47.28Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8334, 9068, 4499

/ 100 compat

Projected

362.3 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 8334, 9068, 4499

Auto

77.5 22%

Teleop

196.3 56%

Endgame

77.4 22%

Strengths

· 9068 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 159, 10114, 4293

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.8 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 159, 10114, 4293

Auto

26.2 22%

Teleop

56.6 47%

Endgame

36.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score362.3pts

Blue projected score121.8pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 240.5
Score range: 90–394
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 503 vs event baseline 177.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

668.3Season APEX337.6

77.5Auto26.2

196.3Teleop56.6

77.4Endgame36.7

48Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	12
teleop	227	43
endgame	62	44
foul	30	0
total	404	99

Result

Final score

404 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 32.2 pts

Match videos

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