Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

357.83 – 251.54

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

286 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 40.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 668.3 ±11.2

8334Titan Robotics

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 40.34Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9068The Chargers

A+

Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 194.37Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 123.12Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 622 ±11.7

1977The PowerSquids

Season APEX 103Event APEX 33.96Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1619Up-A-Creek Robotics

Season APEX 246.4Event APEX 95.8Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2996Cougars Gone Wired

Season APEX 272.6Event APEX 121.78Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8334, 9068, 4499

/ 100 compat

Projected

357.8 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 8334, 9068, 4499

Auto

80.5 23%

Teleop

193.5 56%

Endgame

72.4 21%

Strengths

· 9068 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 1977, 1619, 2996

/ 100 compat

Projected

251.5 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1977, 1619, 2996

Auto

55.9 23%

Teleop

120.1 49%

Endgame

67.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.17 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score357.8pts

Blue projected score251.5pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 106.3
Score range: 219–391
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 528 vs event baseline 182.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

668.3Season APEX622

80.5Auto55.9

193.5Teleop120.1

72.4Endgame67.6

11Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	58
teleop	122	105
endgame	81	69
foul	0	10
total	286	242

Result

Final score

286 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 40.7 pts

Match videos

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