Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

440.58 – 350.84

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

350 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 117.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 719.8 ±10.5

3288Punchers

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 22.39Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 182.28Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 235.91Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 662.4 ±11.2

3807Overland BlazerBots

Season APEX 69.4Event APEX 17.32Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9068The Chargers

A+

Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 201.87Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 131.65Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3288, 8044, 498

/ 100 compat

Projected

440.6 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 3288, 8044, 498

Auto

90.7 21%

Teleop

237.3 55%

Endgame

106.5 25%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3807, 9068, 4499

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.8 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 3807, 9068, 4499

Auto

73.5 22%

Teleop

194.0 57%

Endgame

73.1 21%

Strengths

· 9068 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.16 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score440.6pts

Blue projected score350.8pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.7
Score range: 318–474
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 556 vs event baseline 180.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

719.8Season APEX662.4

90.7Auto73.5

237.3Teleop194

106.5Endgame73.1

11Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	94	79
teleop	203	95
endgame	48	22
foul	5	10
total	350	206

Result

Final score

350 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 117.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.