Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

15 – 42.25

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 91.9 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.5 ±13.9

4183Bit Buckets

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX -7.66Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

662Rocky Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 120.6Event APEX 10.32Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4550Something's Bruin

Season APEX 65.6Event APEX 12.34Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.1 ±13.3

4293Komodo

Season APEX 136.2Event APEX 17.91Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1339Angelbotics

Season APEX 138.5Event APEX 12.34Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5493SMAbotics

Season APEX 88.4Event APEX 12Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4183, 662, 4550

/ 100 compat

Projected

15 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4183, 662, 4550

Auto

8.7 77%

Teleop

3.4 30%

Endgame

-0.8 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4293, 1339, 5493

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.3 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 4293, 1339, 5493

Auto

10.1 26%

Teleop

21.4 55%

Endgame

7.4 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score15pts

Blue projected score42.3pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -27.2
Score range: -14–71
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 241 vs event baseline 163.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

273.5Season APEX363.1

8.7Auto10.1

3.4Teleop21.4

-0.8Endgame7.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	41
teleop	25	87
endgame	7	54
foul	5	5
total	54	187

Result

Final score

54 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 91.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.