Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

68.23 – 213.19

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 215.3 ±12.7

3807Overland BlazerBots

Season APEX 69.4Event APEX 17.72Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3288Punchers

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 26.44Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6358The Buhlean Operators

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 24.07Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 455.4 ±13.3

9134Tecmilenio - DEVOLT

Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 59.74Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

662Rocky Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 120.6Event APEX 31.09Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2240Brute Force

Season APEX 213.9Event APEX 122.36Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3807, 3288, 6358

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.2 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3807, 3288, 6358

Auto

11.6 19%

Teleop

27.2 45%

Endgame

22.3 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 9134, 662, 2240

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.2 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9134, 662, 2240

Auto

54.8 27%

Teleop

110.2 54%

Endgame

39.7 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score68.2pts

Blue projected score213.2pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -145
Score range: 36–245
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 242 vs event baseline 176.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

215.3Season APEX455.4

11.6Auto54.8

27.2Teleop110.2

22.3Endgame39.7

29Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	25
teleop	22	107
endgame	18	51
foul	0	0
total	59	183

Result

Final score

59 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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