Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

168.27 – 136

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

212 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 25.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 456.2 ±12.2

6358The Buhlean Operators

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 26.32Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11220The Royal Guard

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 19.64Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2996Cougars Gone Wired

Season APEX 272.6Event APEX 122.31Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 335.2 ±13.3

7485Mo Co Robo

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 31.59Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4068Bearbotics

Season APEX 160.2Event APEX 68.12Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8334Titan Robotics

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 36.29Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6358, 11220, 2996

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.3 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6358, 11220, 2996

Auto

32.0 20%

Teleop

72.3 45%

Endgame

55.5 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 7485, 4068, 8334

/ 100 compat

Projected

136 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 7485, 4068, 8334

Auto

31.0 24%

Teleop

58.9 45%

Endgame

40.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.81 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score168.3pts

Blue projected score136pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.3
Score range: 102–202
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 356 vs event baseline 189.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

456.2Season APEX335.2

32Auto31

72.3Teleop58.9

55.5Endgame40

53Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	28
teleop	108	72
endgame	45	44
foul	15	0
total	212	144

Result

Final score

212 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 25.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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