Qualification · Qualification 53
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
240.95 – 146.19
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
209 – 154
Prediction correct · off by 19.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 452.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 15.17Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 200.27Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 25.51Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 309.7 ±13.9
Season APEX 138.5Event APEX 94.8Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 19.57Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 31.82Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7485, 9068, 3288
77
/ 100 compatProjected
241 pts
~2.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 7485, 9068, 3288
Auto
57.3 24%
Teleop
137.4 57%
Endgame
46.3 19%
Strengths
- · 9068 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1339, 2083, 8334
58
/ 100 compatProjected
146.2 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 1339, 2083, 8334
Auto
26.4 18%
Teleop
80.8 56%
Endgame
38.0 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.11 · Blue 1.04
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score241pts
Blue projected score146.2pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample164alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 94.8
- Score range
- 115–272
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
452.3Season APEX309.7
57.3Auto26.4
137.4Teleop80.8
46.3Endgame38
5Consistency58
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 59 | 41 |
| teleop | 95 | 64 |
| endgame | 25 | 39 |
| foul | 30 | 10 |
| total | 209 | 154 |
Result
Final score
209 – 154
Prediction correct · off by 19.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.