Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

240.95146.19

76%24%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

209154

Prediction correct · off by 19.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 452.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 15.17Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 200.27Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 25.51Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 309.7 ±13.9
Season APEX 138.5Event APEX 94.8Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 19.57Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 31.82Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7485, 9068, 3288
77
/ 100 compat
Projected
241 pts
~2.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 7485, 9068, 3288
Auto
57.3 24%
Teleop
137.4 57%
Endgame
46.3 19%
Strengths
  • · 9068 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1339, 2083, 8334
58
/ 100 compat
Projected
146.2 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 1339, 2083, 8334
Auto
26.4 18%
Teleop
80.8 56%
Endgame
38.0 26%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.11 · Blue 1.04
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score241pts
Blue projected score146.2pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample164alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
94.8
Score range
115272
Upset likelihood
24%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 363 vs event baseline 173.5.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

452.3Season APEX309.7
57.3Auto26.4
137.4Teleop80.8
46.3Endgame38
5Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto5941
teleop9564
endgame2539
foul3010
total209154

Result

Final score

209154

Prediction correct · off by 19.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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