Qualification · Qualification 52
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
360.73 – 73.35
97%3%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
434 – 147
Prediction correct · off by 73.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 601.5 ±12.8
Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 228.4Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 213.9Event APEX 111.15Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69.4Event APEX 21.18Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 347.4 ±13.9
Season APEX 120.6Event APEX 32.38Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 123.8Event APEX -2.95Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 103Event APEX 43.92Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 498, 2240, 3807
83
/ 100 compatProjected
360.7 pts
~2.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 498, 2240, 3807
Auto
84.1 24%
Teleop
193.8 55%
Endgame
75.0 21%
Strengths
- · 498 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 662, 9586, 1977
38
/ 100 compatProjected
73.4 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 662, 9586, 1977
Auto
16.2 22%
Teleop
32.4 44%
Endgame
25.3 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.65
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score360.7pts
Blue projected score73.4pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample164alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 287.4
- Score range
- 42–392
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
601.5Season APEX347.4
84.1Auto16.2
193.8Teleop32.4
75Endgame25.3
0Consistency26
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 61 | 15 |
| teleop | 256 | 79 |
| endgame | 87 | 53 |
| foul | 30 | 0 |
| total | 434 | 147 |
Result
Final score
434 – 147
Prediction correct · off by 73.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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