Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

151.82 – 99.7

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

91 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 44.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 340.4 ±13.3

4293Komodo

Season APEX 136.2Event APEX 62.58Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4418IMPULSE

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 5.25Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4388Ridgebotics

Season APEX 104.7Event APEX 83.99Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307.9 ±13.9

9501Sidereal Envoy

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 39.55Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3648Sparta Robotica

Season APEX 138.3Event APEX 27.07Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5493SMAbotics

Season APEX 88.4Event APEX 33.08Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4293, 4418, 4388

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4293, 4418, 4388

Auto

12.0 8%

Teleop

98.3 69%

Endgame

32.8 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9501, 3648, 5493

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.7 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9501, 3648, 5493

Auto

27.4 29%

Teleop

42.3 44%

Endgame

25.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score151.8pts

Blue projected score99.7pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 52.1
Score range: 69–183
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 163 vs event baseline 173.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

340.4Season APEX307.9

12Auto27.4

98.3Teleop42.3

32.8Endgame25.6

19Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	21
teleop	37	48
endgame	14	3
foul	15	0
total	91	72

Result

Final score

91 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 44.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.