Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

343.37 – 136.82

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

221 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 82.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 700.9 ±10.5

2996Cougars Gone Wired

Season APEX 272.6Event APEX 128.62Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4944The Hi Fives

Season APEX 127.2Event APEX 61.22Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 153.53Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397.2 ±12.2

1619Up-A-Creek Robotics

Season APEX 246.4Event APEX 83.27Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6358The Buhlean Operators

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 33.16Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4550Something's Bruin

Season APEX 65.6Event APEX 20.39Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2996, 4944, 4499

/ 100 compat

Projected

343.4 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2996, 4944, 4499

Auto

59.8 18%

Teleop

194.2 58%

Endgame

79.3 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 6%

Blue · 1619, 6358, 4550

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.8 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1619, 6358, 4550

Auto

27.8 21%

Teleop

62.6 47%

Endgame

41.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 6%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.6 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score343.4pts

Blue projected score136.8pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 206.6
Score range: 106–374
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 173.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

700.9Season APEX397.2

59.8Auto27.8

194.2Teleop62.6

79.3Endgame41.8

31Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	25
teleop	99	30
endgame	81	40
foul	0	0
total	221	95

Result

Final score

221 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 82.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.