Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

141.65 – 217.2

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

152 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 6.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 309.1 ±12.7

1977The PowerSquids

Season APEX 103Event APEX 43.43Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6358The Buhlean Operators

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 29.59Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9134Tecmilenio - DEVOLT

Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 68.63Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 324.4 ±13.3

1339Angelbotics

Season APEX 138.5Event APEX 93.81Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4388Ridgebotics

Season APEX 104.7Event APEX 81.89Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9501Sidereal Envoy

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 41.5Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1977, 6358, 9134

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.6 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1977, 6358, 9134

Auto

36.6 26%

Teleop

67.6 49%

Endgame

34.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1339, 4388, 9501

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.2 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1339, 4388, 9501

Auto

33.6 16%

Teleop

124.1 60%

Endgame

48.7 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.12 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score141.6pts

Blue projected score217.2pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -75.5
Score range: 111–248
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 171.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

309.1Season APEX324.4

36.6Auto33.6

67.6Teleop124.1

34.2Endgame48.7

16Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	45
teleop	72	110
endgame	50	65
foul	0	0
total	152	220

Result

Final score

152 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 6.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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