Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

158.59 – 307.18

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

234 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 60.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 424.3 ±12.8

2240Brute Force

Season APEX 213.9Event APEX 102.18Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10333Elevation

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 13.95Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4293Komodo

Season APEX 136.2Event APEX 42.46Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 541.7 ±12.2

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 239.78Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3648Sparta Robotica

Season APEX 138.3Event APEX 30.51Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6358The Buhlean Operators

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 36.89Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2240, 10333, 4293

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.6 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2240, 10333, 4293

Auto

32.8 22%

Teleop

70.9 48%

Endgame

45.4 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 498, 3648, 6358

/ 100 compat

Projected

307.2 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 498, 3648, 6358

Auto

61.0 20%

Teleop

189.4 63%

Endgame

48.2 16%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score158.6pts

Blue projected score307.2pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -148.6
Score range: 128–338
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 495 vs event baseline 172.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

424.3Season APEX541.7

32.8Auto61

70.9Teleop189.4

45.4Endgame48.2

6Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	49
teleop	119	118
endgame	41	89
foul	20	5
total	234	261

Result

Final score

234 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 60.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.