Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

377.1 – 123.21

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

412 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 29.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 610.5 ±12.8

9068The Chargers

A+

Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 191.37Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4388Ridgebotics

Season APEX 104.7Event APEX 71.14Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2240Brute Force

Season APEX 213.9Event APEX 114.59Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 303.6 ±12.7

1339Angelbotics

Season APEX 138.5Event APEX 98.49Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4550Something's Bruin

Season APEX 65.6Event APEX 18.02Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4418IMPULSE

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 6.7Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9068, 4388, 2240

/ 100 compat

Projected

377.1 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9068, 4388, 2240

Auto

79.4 22%

Teleop

211.1 58%

Endgame

74.9 20%

Strengths

· 9068 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1339, 4550, 4418

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.2 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1339, 4550, 4418

Auto

32.2 27%

Teleop

62.8 53%

Endgame

24.5 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.7 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score377.1pts

Blue projected score123.2pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 253.9
Score range: 89–411
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 512 vs event baseline 189.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

610.5Season APEX303.6

79.4Auto32.2

211.1Teleop62.8

74.9Endgame24.5

3Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	27
teleop	263	54
endgame	69	19
foul	5	0
total	412	100

Result

Final score

412 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 29.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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