Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
83.45 – 195.18
20%80%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
48 – 296
Prediction correct · off by 68.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.3 ±13.9
Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 49.66Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 19.45Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69.4Event APEX 14.34Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 490.7 ±13.3
Season APEX 213.9Event APEX 75.69Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 138.3Event APEX 18.7Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 138.5Event APEX 100.79Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9501, 7485, 3807
42
/ 100 compatProjected
83.5 pts
~0.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 9501, 7485, 3807
Auto
22.3 28%
Teleop
36.0 44%
Endgame
22.7 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 2240, 3648, 1339
64
/ 100 compatProjected
195.2 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 2240, 3648, 1339
Auto
53.0 28%
Teleop
121.4 63%
Endgame
18.3 9%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.92 · Blue 2.24
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score83.5pts
Blue projected score195.2pts
Red win probability20%
Event bonus sample164alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -111.7
- Score range
- 53–225
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
250.3Season APEX490.7
22.3Auto53
36Teleop121.4
22.7Endgame18.3
0Consistency66
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 82 |
| teleop | 21 | 152 |
| endgame | 0 | 62 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 48 | 296 |
Result
Final score
48 – 296
Prediction correct · off by 68.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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