Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

198.29 – 105.73

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

158 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 59.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 465.1 ±12.4

11220The Royal Guard

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 2.6Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 173.46Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4550Something's Bruin

Season APEX 65.6Event APEX 22.23Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 263.2 ±12.7

1977The PowerSquids

Season APEX 103Event APEX 69.66Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3288Punchers

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 28Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4418IMPULSE

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 8.07Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11220, 4499, 4550

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.3 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 11220, 4499, 4550

Auto

41.7 20%

Teleop

122.2 59%

Endgame

43.3 21%

Strengths

· 4499 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 1977, 3288, 4418

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.7 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 1977, 3288, 4418

Auto

28.7 27%

Teleop

63.5 59%

Endgame

15.1 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.14 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score198.3pts

Blue projected score105.7pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.6
Score range: 75–229
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 185 vs event baseline 172.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

465.1Season APEX263.2

41.7Auto28.7

122.2Teleop63.5

43.3Endgame15.1

44Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	12
teleop	67	5
endgame	43	10
foul	0	0
total	158	27

Result

Final score

158 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 59.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.