Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

133.47 – 118.06

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

92 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 55.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 379 ±12.2

4183Bit Buckets

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 8.14Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4068Bearbotics

Season APEX 160.2Event APEX 75.29Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10114Phantom Talons

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 50.04Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 413.5 ±15

2083Team Blitz

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 24.68Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2240Brute Force

Season APEX 213.9Event APEX 91.69Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2945Steel Mustangs

Season APEX 103.7Event APEX 1.69Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4183, 4068, 10114

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.5 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4183, 4068, 10114

Auto

21.2 16%

Teleop

71.1 54%

Endgame

39.2 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 2083, 2240, 2945

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.1 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2083, 2240, 2945

Auto

31.8 28%

Teleop

54.3 47%

Endgame

28.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score133.5pts

Blue projected score118.1pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 15.4
Score range: 88–163
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 141 vs event baseline 169.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

379Season APEX413.5

21.2Auto31.8

71.1Teleop54.3

39.2Endgame28.3

78Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	44
teleop	28	5
endgame	22	0
foul	5	0
total	92	49

Result

Final score

92 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 55.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.