Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

118.31 – 53.25

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

53 – 64

Prediction missed · off by 38 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 252.5 ±12.8

1977The PowerSquids

Season APEX 103Event APEX 74.97Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8334Titan Robotics

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 20.39Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10333Elevation

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 22.95Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.9 ±12.1

6358The Buhlean Operators

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 46.53Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4418IMPULSE

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 13.78Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4944The Hi Fives

Season APEX 127.2Event APEX -7.06Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1977, 8334, 10333

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.3 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 1977, 8334, 10333

Auto

19.9 17%

Teleop

73.7 61%

Endgame

26.4 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6358, 4418, 4944

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.3 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 6358, 4418, 4944

Auto

16.2 37%

Teleop

18.7 43%

Endgame

9.1 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score118.3pts

Blue projected score53.3pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 65.1
Score range: 22–149
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 117 vs event baseline 173.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

252.5Season APEX311.9

19.9Auto16.2

73.7Teleop18.7

26.4Endgame9.1

58Consistency123

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	13
teleop	16	23
endgame	26	13
foul	0	15
total	53	64

Result

Final score

53 – 64

Prediction missed · off by 38 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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