Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

108.81 – 264.69

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

145 – 334

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.8 ±12.7

3288Punchers

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 17.44Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1339Angelbotics

Season APEX 138.5Event APEX 77.24Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

662Rocky Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 120.6Event APEX 14.13Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 683.7 ±11.2

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 161.43Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4293Komodo

Season APEX 136.2Event APEX 33.32Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1619Up-A-Creek Robotics

Season APEX 246.4Event APEX 69.94Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3288, 1339, 662

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.8 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3288, 1339, 662

Auto

32.3 30%

Teleop

69.5 65%

Endgame

4.4 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4499, 4293, 1619

/ 100 compat

Projected

264.7 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4499, 4293, 1619

Auto

55.1 21%

Teleop

142.0 54%

Endgame

65.9 25%

Strengths

· 4499 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.86 · Blue 2.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score108.8pts

Blue projected score264.7pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -155.9
Score range: 78–296
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 479 vs event baseline 169.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

319.8Season APEX683.7

32.3Auto55.1

69.5Teleop142

4.4Endgame65.9

143Consistency102

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	47
teleop	58	192
endgame	37	90
foul	20	5
total	145	334

Result

Final score

145 – 334

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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