Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

118.1 – 149.08

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 326

Prediction correct · off by 114.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 247.8 ±13.3

8334Titan Robotics

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 49.68Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6358The Buhlean Operators

Season APEX 85.2Event APEX 60.5Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4183Bit Buckets

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 7.92Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 515.3 ±11.7

4550Something's Bruin

Season APEX 65.6Event APEX 0.3Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10114Phantom Talons

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 3.95Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 144.83Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8334, 6358, 4183

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.1 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 8334, 6358, 4183

Auto

29.4 26%

Teleop

78.4 69%

Endgame

6.0 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4550, 10114, 498

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.1 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4550, 10114, 498

Auto

45.3 32%

Teleop

69.0 49%

Endgame

25.7 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score118.1pts

Blue projected score149.1pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31
Score range: 87–180
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 392 vs event baseline 170.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

247.8Season APEX515.3

29.4Auto45.3

78.4Teleop69

6Endgame25.7

132Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	67
teleop	25	159
endgame	12	100
foul	15	0
total	66	326

Result

Final score

66 – 326

Prediction correct · off by 114.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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