Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.98 – 171.59

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

70 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 27.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 329.4 ±13.9

4293Komodo

Season APEX 136.2Event APEX 42.52Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3807Overland BlazerBots

Season APEX 69.4Event APEX 8.79Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9586Denbot

Season APEX 123.8Event APEX 22.67Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.4 ±12.7

4068Bearbotics

Season APEX 160.2Event APEX 68.12Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1977The PowerSquids

Season APEX 103Event APEX 34.59Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4944The Hi Fives

Season APEX 127.2Event APEX 68.88Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4293, 3807, 9586

/ 100 compat

Projected

74 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 4293, 3807, 9586

Auto

2.6 4%

Teleop

35.0 51%

Endgame

31.0 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 4068, 1977, 4944

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.6 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 4068, 1977, 4944

Auto

26.4 16%

Teleop

85.8 51%

Endgame

56.1 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.99 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score74pts

Blue projected score171.6pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -97.6
Score range: 40–206
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 189.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

329.4Season APEX390.4

2.6Auto26.4

35Teleop85.8

31Endgame56.1

25Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	27
teleop	35	68
endgame	17	25
foul	5	0
total	70	120

Result

Final score

70 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 27.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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