Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

208.91 – 102.53

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

223 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 20.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 531.8 ±12.2

3648Sparta Robotica

Season APEX 138.3Event APEX 29.61Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2996Cougars Gone Wired

Season APEX 272.6Event APEX 122.31Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9134Tecmilenio - DEVOLT

Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 56.99Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327.4 ±12.8

8334Titan Robotics

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 36.29Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10114Phantom Talons

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 36.01Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

662Rocky Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 120.6Event APEX 30.23Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3648, 2996, 9134

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.9 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 3648, 2996, 9134

Auto

45.8 22%

Teleop

104.8 51%

Endgame

53.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 8334, 10114, 662

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.5 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8334, 10114, 662

Auto

30.1 31%

Teleop

38.6 39%

Endgame

29.7 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.2 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score208.9pts

Blue projected score102.5pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 106.4
Score range: 69–243
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 298 vs event baseline 189.5.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

531.8Season APEX327.4

45.8Auto30.1

104.8Teleop38.6

53.8Endgame29.7

41Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	29
teleop	112	25
endgame	22	21
foul	25	0
total	223	75

Result

Final score

223 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 20.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.