Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

290.68 – 482.32

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

273 – 394

Prediction correct · off by 53 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 403.1 ±14.8

9585RobUL

Season APEX 104.4Event APEX 57.26Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

1339Angelbotics

Season APEX 138.5Event APEX 127.92Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4068Bearbotics

Season APEX 160.2Event APEX 105.5Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 665.5 ±11

4944The Hi Fives

Season APEX 127.2Event APEX 86.44Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9068The Chargers

A+

Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 224.16Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1619Up-A-Creek Robotics

Season APEX 246.4Event APEX 171.72Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9585, 1339, 4068

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.7 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9585, 1339, 4068

Auto

61.9 23%

Teleop

155.1 57%

Endgame

57.3 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 4944, 9068, 1619

/ 100 compat

Projected

482.3 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 4944, 9068, 1619

Auto

70.0 15%

Teleop

273.0 58%

Endgame

125.4 27%

Strengths

· 9068 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score290.7pts

Blue projected score482.3pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -191.6
Score range: 255–518
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 667 vs event baseline 201.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

403.1Season APEX665.5

61.9Auto70

155.1Teleop273

57.3Endgame125.4

21Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	58
teleop	130	298
endgame	88	38
foul	0	0
total	273	394

Result

Final score

273 – 394

Prediction correct · off by 53 pts

Match videos

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