Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

477.2 – 204.64

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

531 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 41.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 697.1 ±8.4

2443Blue Thunder

Season APEX 160.1Event APEX 67.14Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 215.62Rank 4Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 194.44Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 380.7 ±15.6

1799Wired-Up!

Provisional

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 0.84Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

7421PrepaTec - OVERTURE

Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 149.59Rank 12Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11220The Royal Guard

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 54.21Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2443, 4499, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

477.2 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2443, 4499, 118

Auto

82.2 17%

Teleop

273.9 58%

Endgame

114.0 24%

Strengths

· 4499 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 4%

Blue · 1799, 7421, 11220

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.6 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 1799, 7421, 11220

Auto

38.4 19%

Teleop

130.9 64%

Endgame

34.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 4%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.64 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score477.2pts

Blue projected score204.6pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 272.6
Score range: 169–513
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 707 vs event baseline 199.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

697.1Season APEX380.7

82.2Auto38.4

273.9Teleop130.9

114Endgame34.4

0Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	117	45
teleop	287	82
endgame	127	49
foul	0	0
total	531	176

Result

Final score

531 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 41.2 pts

Match videos

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