Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

362.94 – 282.79

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

300 – 355

Prediction missed · off by 67.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 552.2 ±15.6

10686Central Park Nightbots

Provisional

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 15.36Rank 52Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

2996Cougars Gone Wired

Season APEX 272.6Event APEX 186.5Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2240Brute Force

Season APEX 213.9Event APEX 161.08Rank 2Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 540.4 ±10.4

10333Elevation

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 31Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4593Rapid Acceleration

Season APEX 228.9Event APEX 144.24Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3354PrepaTec - TecDroid

Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 107.55Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10686, 2996, 2240

/ 100 compat

Projected

362.9 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10686, 2996, 2240

Auto

88.7 24%

Teleop

208.0 56%

Endgame

74.0 20%

Strengths

· 2996 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 10333, 4593, 3354

/ 100 compat

Projected

282.8 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10333, 4593, 3354

Auto

48.9 17%

Teleop

155.9 55%

Endgame

78.1 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.2 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score362.9pts

Blue projected score282.8pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 80.1
Score range: 247–399
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 655 vs event baseline 197.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

552.2Season APEX540.4

88.7Auto48.9

208Teleop155.9

74Endgame78.1

24Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	67
teleop	161	181
endgame	86	102
foul	0	5
total	300	355

Result

Final score

300 – 355

Prediction missed · off by 67.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.