Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

274.43 – 318.95

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

364 – 371

Prediction correct · off by 70.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 449.1 ±12.1

6652Tigres

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 39.75Rank 17Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1339Angelbotics

Season APEX 138.5Event APEX 128.73Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4068Bearbotics

Season APEX 160.2Event APEX 105.95Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 540.4 ±10.4

10333Elevation

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 41.37Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4593Rapid Acceleration

Season APEX 228.9Event APEX 160.48Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3354PrepaTec - TecDroid

Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 117.1Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6652, 1339, 4068

/ 100 compat

Projected

274.4 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6652, 1339, 4068

Auto

66.2 25%

Teleop

149.5 56%

Endgame

49.9 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 10333, 4593, 3354

/ 100 compat

Projected

319 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10333, 4593, 3354

Auto

54.6 17%

Teleop

182.3 57%

Endgame

81.1 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score274.4pts

Blue projected score319pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -44.5
Score range: 237–356
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 735 vs event baseline 205.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

449.1Season APEX540.4

66.2Auto54.6

149.5Teleop182.3

49.9Endgame81.1

62Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	79
teleop	122	193
endgame	171	84
foul	5	15
total	364	371

Result

Final score

364 – 371

Prediction correct · off by 70.8 pts

Match videos

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