Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

287.33 – 224.08

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

324 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 37.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 403.1 ±14.8

9585RobUL

Season APEX 104.4Event APEX 56.63Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

1339Angelbotics

Season APEX 138.5Event APEX 126.99Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4068Bearbotics

Season APEX 160.2Event APEX 103.71Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 348.5 ±13.3

7725PrepaTec - NUTS & VOLTS

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 90.51Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9301PrepaTec - MechRams

Season APEX 134.6Event APEX 92.3Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2465KauaiBots

Season APEX 90Event APEX 41.27Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9585, 1339, 4068

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.3 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9585, 1339, 4068

Auto

60.6 22%

Teleop

150.1 55%

Endgame

63.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 7725, 9301, 2465

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.1 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7725, 9301, 2465

Auto

39.1 18%

Teleop

116.8 54%

Endgame

61.1 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.11 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score287.3pts

Blue projected score224.1pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 63.2
Score range: 187–324
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 510 vs event baseline 203.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

403.1Season APEX348.5

60.6Auto39.1

150.1Teleop116.8

63.6Endgame61.1

30Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	37
teleop	162	79
endgame	84	70
foul	15	0
total	324	186

Result

Final score

324 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 37.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.