Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
81.13 – 81.13
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
222 – 96
Prediction correct · off by 77.9 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 486.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 121.1Event APEX -Rank 28Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 160.1Event APEX -Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 205.1Event APEX -Rank 12Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 247.8 ±15.6
Season APEX 75.1Event APEX -Rank 38Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 95.9Event APEX -Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 76.8Event APEX -Rank 46Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2036, 2443, 7421
50
/ 100 compatProjected
81.1 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 2036, 2443, 7421
Auto
24.3 30%
Teleop
40.6 50%
Endgame
16.2 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 3200, 2083, 10682
50
/ 100 compatProjected
81.1 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 3200, 2083, 10682
Auto
24.3 30%
Teleop
40.6 50%
Endgame
16.2 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.66
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score81.1pts
Blue projected score81.1pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample196alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 52–110
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
486.3Season APEX247.8
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 17 |
| teleop | 161 | 38 |
| endgame | 32 | 41 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 222 | 96 |
Result
Final score
222 – 96
Prediction correct · off by 77.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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