Qualification · Qualification 83

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

133.71 – 185.77

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

163 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 21.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 324.8 ±14.5

3200Raptacon

Season APEX 75.1Event APEX 32.55Rank 38Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

7485Mo Co Robo

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 39.89Rank 51Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7546Prepa Tec - MinerZ

Season APEX 150Event APEX 61.27Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 376.1 ±18

7479Cardinal Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61Event APEX 11.76Rank 48Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1303WYOHAZARD

Provisional

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 4.96Rank 43Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1619Up-A-Creek Robotics

Season APEX 246.4Event APEX 169.05Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3200, 7485, 7546

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.7 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 3200, 7485, 7546

Auto

28.2 23%

Teleop

45.2 36%

Endgame

51.0 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7479, 1303, 1619

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 7479, 1303, 1619

Auto

58.3 32%

Teleop

98.1 54%

Endgame

26.4 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score133.7pts

Blue projected score185.8pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -52.1
Score range: 100–220
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 335 vs event baseline 191.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

324.8Season APEX376.1

28.2Auto58.3

45.2Teleop98.1

51Endgame26.4

42Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	47
teleop	68	74
endgame	50	51
foul	15	0
total	163	172

Result

Final score

163 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 21.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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