Qualification · Qualification 81
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
182.17 – 23.41
88%12%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
356 – 69
Prediction correct · off by 109.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 424.4 ±17.2
7737RaptorBotics
Provisional
Season APEX 81.5Event APEX -11.14Rank 53Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 129Event APEX 39.06Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 213.9Event APEX 154.25Rank 2Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.2 ±19.4
22591/4 Twenties
Provisional
Season APEX 70Event APEX -19.33Rank 47Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
10686Central Park Nightbots
Provisional
Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 17.09Rank 52Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 103.5Event APEX 25.65Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7737, 6702, 2240
62
/ 100 compatProjected
182.2 pts
~2.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 7737, 6702, 2240
Auto
40.0 22%
Teleop
106.2 57%
Endgame
38.5 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2259, 10686, 3729
19
/ 100 compatProjected
23.4 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 2259, 10686, 3729
Auto
1.7 7%
Teleop
18.6 72%
Endgame
5.6 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.8
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score182.2pts
Blue projected score23.4pts
Red win probability88%
Event bonus sample196alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 158.8
- Score range
- -11–216
- Upset likelihood
- 12%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
424.4Season APEX239.2
40Auto1.7
106.2Teleop18.6
38.5Endgame5.6
63Consistency31
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 64 | 12 |
| teleop | 206 | 38 |
| endgame | 86 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 356 | 69 |
Result
Final score
356 – 69
Prediction correct · off by 109.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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