Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
76.36 – 76.36
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
84 – 374
Prediction missed · off by 152.6 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 304 ±13.3
Season APEX 99.7Event APEX -Rank 51Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 99.5Event APEX -Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 104.8Event APEX -Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 539.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 127.2Event APEX -Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 291.9Event APEX -Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 120.6Event APEX -Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7485, 4418, 1410
50
/ 100 compatProjected
76.4 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 7485, 4418, 1410
Auto
22.9 30%
Teleop
38.2 50%
Endgame
15.3 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 4944, 9068, 662
50
/ 100 compatProjected
76.4 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 4944, 9068, 662
Auto
22.9 30%
Teleop
38.2 50%
Endgame
15.3 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score76.4pts
Blue projected score76.4pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample196alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 13%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 49–103
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
304Season APEX539.7
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 63 |
| teleop | 19 | 248 |
| endgame | 32 | 63 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 84 | 374 |
Result
Final score
84 – 374
Prediction missed · off by 152.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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