Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

208.66 – 271.88

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

170 – 269

Prediction correct · off by 20.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 444.8 ±12.8

6702PrepaTec - StingBots

Season APEX 129Event APEX 40.56Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1619Up-A-Creek Robotics

Season APEX 246.4Event APEX 175.47Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3807Overland BlazerBots

Season APEX 69.4Event APEX -7.37Rank 50Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 484.8 ±12.8

9068The Chargers

A+

Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 234.32Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1977The PowerSquids

Season APEX 103Event APEX 14.04Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6704Mid Pacific Owls Robotics

Season APEX 89.9Event APEX 23.52Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6702, 1619, 3807

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.7 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6702, 1619, 3807

Auto

51.4 27%

Teleop

101.3 53%

Endgame

36.7 19%

Strengths

· 1619 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9068, 1977, 6704

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.9 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9068, 1977, 6704

Auto

20.6 8%

Teleop

172.1 66%

Endgame

68.6 26%

Strengths

· 9068 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.29 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score208.7pts

Blue projected score271.9pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -63.2
Score range: 175–306
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 439 vs event baseline 186.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

444.8Season APEX484.8

51.4Auto20.6

101.3Teleop172.1

36.7Endgame68.6

31Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	9
teleop	72	175
endgame	38	85
foul	0	0
total	170	269

Result

Final score

170 – 269

Prediction correct · off by 20.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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