Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
80.25 – 80.25
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
128 – 84
Prediction correct · off by 25.8 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 239.8 ±16.5
Season APEX 123.8Event APEX -Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
7479Cardinal Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 61Event APEX -Rank 48Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 55Event APEX -Rank 39Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 337.3 ±17.2
Season APEX 138.3Event APEX -Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 129Event APEX -Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
22591/4 Twenties
Provisional
Season APEX 70Event APEX -Rank 47Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9586, 7479, 11025
50
/ 100 compatProjected
80.3 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 9586, 7479, 11025
Auto
24.1 30%
Teleop
40.1 50%
Endgame
16.1 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3648, 6702, 2259
50
/ 100 compatProjected
80.3 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 3648, 6702, 2259
Auto
24.1 30%
Teleop
40.1 50%
Endgame
16.1 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.73
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score80.3pts
Blue projected score80.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample196alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 68%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 51–109
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
239.8Season APEX337.3
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 55 | 17 |
| teleop | 56 | 61 |
| endgame | 17 | 6 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 128 | 84 |
Result
Final score
128 – 84
Prediction correct · off by 25.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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