Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

323.76 – 181.64

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

407 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 64.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 531.5 ±12.8

662Rocky Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 120.6Event APEX 60.93Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2996Cougars Gone Wired

Season APEX 272.6Event APEX 189.26Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3648Sparta Robotica

Season APEX 138.3Event APEX 73.57Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397.9 ±13.3

2972Gears and Buccaneers

Season APEX 116.6Event APEX 49.71Rank 49Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4068Bearbotics

Season APEX 160.2Event APEX 101.85Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2036Boulder Valley Black Knights

Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 30.08Rank 28Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 662, 2996, 3648

/ 100 compat

Projected

323.8 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 662, 2996, 3648

Auto

69.8 23%

Teleop

175.0 57%

Endgame

63.0 20%

Strengths

· 2996 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 2972, 4068, 2036

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.6 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 2972, 4068, 2036

Auto

26.4 15%

Teleop

118.1 65%

Endgame

36.7 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.6 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score323.8pts

Blue projected score181.6pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 142.1
Score range: 148–358
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 634 vs event baseline 186.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

531.5Season APEX397.9

69.8Auto26.4

175Teleop118.1

63Endgame36.7

19Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	16
teleop	262	131
endgame	63	80
foul	0	0
total	407	227

Result

Final score

407 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 64.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.