Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

166.23 – 134.75

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

123 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 36 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 297.6 ±13.9

11220The Royal Guard

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 43.35Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7725PrepaTec - NUTS & VOLTS

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 110.47Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8334Titan Robotics

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 12.41Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.9 ±13.3

4388Ridgebotics

Season APEX 104.7Event APEX 28.34Rank 54Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4944The Hi Fives

Season APEX 127.2Event APEX 91.58Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11025Garage Gang

Season APEX 55Event APEX 14.83Rank 39Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11220, 7725, 8334

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.2 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 11220, 7725, 8334

Auto

33.5 19%

Teleop

83.6 46%

Endgame

63.0 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4388, 4944, 11025

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.8 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4388, 4944, 11025

Auto

29.8 22%

Teleop

73.2 53%

Endgame

34.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.97 · Blue 1.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score166.2pts

Blue projected score134.8pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 31.5
Score range: 101–200
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 229 vs event baseline 188.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

297.6Season APEX286.9

33.5Auto29.8

83.6Teleop73.2

63Endgame34.3

45Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	14
teleop	44	58
endgame	42	34
foul	0	0
total	123	106

Result

Final score

123 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 36 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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