Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.45 – 118.64

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

107 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 21.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 277.1 ±17.7

2083Team Blitz

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 58.15Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

7737RaptorBotics

Provisional

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX -14.31Rank 53Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

7485Mo Co Robo

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 45.61Rank 51Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 399.3 ±12.8

1977The PowerSquids

Season APEX 103Event APEX 10.11Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4293Komodo

Season APEX 136.2Event APEX 61.94Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2443Blue Thunder

Season APEX 160.1Event APEX 46.59Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2083, 7737, 7485

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.4 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2083, 7737, 7485

Auto

16.3 17%

Teleop

42.3 45%

Endgame

35.9 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1977, 4293, 2443

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.6 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 1977, 4293, 2443

Auto

5.1 5%

Teleop

83.5 79%

Endgame

17.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score89.4pts

Blue projected score118.6pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.2
Score range: 55–153
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 251 vs event baseline 189.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

277.1Season APEX399.3

16.3Auto5.1

42.3Teleop83.5

35.9Endgame17.6

36Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	24
teleop	66	94
endgame	24	26
foul	5	0
total	107	144

Result

Final score

107 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 21.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.