Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

364.29 – 118.99

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

480 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 99.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 586.5 ±14.7

9068The Chargers

A+

Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 219.34Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10686Central Park Nightbots

Provisional

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 13.3Rank 52Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

4593Rapid Acceleration

Season APEX 228.9Event APEX 131.65Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273 ±16.5

7479Cardinal Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61Event APEX 0.27Rank 48Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5526Type C - Peñoles

Season APEX 77.4Event APEX 31.73Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9301PrepaTec - MechRams

Season APEX 134.6Event APEX 86.99Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9068, 10686, 4593

/ 100 compat

Projected

364.3 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9068, 10686, 4593

Auto

55.0 16%

Teleop

219.9 62%

Endgame

79.9 23%

Strengths

· 9068 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7479, 5526, 9301

/ 100 compat

Projected

119 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 7479, 5526, 9301

Auto

10.0 8%

Teleop

67.1 54%

Endgame

48.3 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.53 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score364.3pts

Blue projected score119pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 245.3
Score range: 85–398
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 683 vs event baseline 187.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

586.5Season APEX273

55Auto10

219.9Teleop67.1

79.9Endgame48.3

70Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	22
teleop	306	119
endgame	120	62
foul	10	0
total	480	203

Result

Final score

480 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 99.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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