Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

275.99 – 124.5

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

342 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 83.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 555.9 ±12.4

7546Prepa Tec - MinerZ

Season APEX 150Event APEX 62.2Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1410The Kraken

Season APEX 104.8Event APEX 37.97Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 175.82Rank 4Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 278.3 ±13.5

6702PrepaTec - StingBots

Season APEX 129Event APEX 51.97Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10333Elevation

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 38.9Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3200Raptacon

Season APEX 75.1Event APEX 33.63Rank 38Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7546, 1410, 4499

/ 100 compat

Projected

276 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7546, 1410, 4499

Auto

65.0 25%

Teleop

140.3 54%

Endgame

56.8 22%

Strengths

· 4499 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6702, 10333, 3200

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.5 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6702, 10333, 3200

Auto

14.3 11%

Teleop

53.4 42%

Endgame

59.2 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score276pts

Blue projected score124.5pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 151.5
Score range: 91–310
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 365 vs event baseline 187.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

555.9Season APEX278.3

65Auto14.3

140.3Teleop53.4

56.8Endgame59.2

37Consistency100

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	18
teleop	148	1
endgame	117	4
foul	0	0
total	342	23

Result

Final score

342 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 83.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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