Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

299.94 – 337.1

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

340 – 365

Prediction correct · off by 34 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 502.6 ±16.4

7725PrepaTec - NUTS & VOLTS

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 111.26Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2996Cougars Gone Wired

Season APEX 272.6Event APEX 184.23Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1822Electric Calamari

Provisional

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 4.45Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 518.7 ±12.8

2240Brute Force

Season APEX 213.9Event APEX 143.25Rank 2Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7485Mo Co Robo

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 46.83Rank 51Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7421PrepaTec - OVERTURE

Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 147.02Rank 12Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7725, 2996, 1822

/ 100 compat

Projected

299.9 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7725, 2996, 1822

Auto

55.3 17%

Teleop

158.1 50%

Endgame

103.4 33%

Strengths

· 2996 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 2240, 7485, 7421

/ 100 compat

Projected

337.1 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 2240, 7485, 7421

Auto

67.0 20%

Teleop

186.9 57%

Endgame

73.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.59 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score299.9pts

Blue projected score337.1pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37.2
Score range: 267–370
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 705 vs event baseline 184.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

502.6Season APEX518.7

55.3Auto67

158.1Teleop186.9

103.4Endgame73.2

29Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	54
teleop	188	209
endgame	90	102
foul	5	0
total	340	365

Result

Final score

340 – 365

Prediction correct · off by 34 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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