Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

109.75 – 328.64

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

151 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 39.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 366.6 ±12.8

6704Mid Pacific Owls Robotics

Season APEX 89.9Event APEX 16.15Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2443Blue Thunder

Season APEX 160.1Event APEX 40.5Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2972Gears and Buccaneers

Season APEX 116.6Event APEX 53.1Rank 49Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 470.5 ±11.7

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 197.26Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4293Komodo

Season APEX 136.2Event APEX 70.47Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

11220The Royal Guard

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 60.91Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6704, 2443, 2972

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6704, 2443, 2972

Auto

-0.5 0%

Teleop

83.2 77%

Endgame

24.8 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 118, 4293, 11220

/ 100 compat

Projected

328.6 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 118, 4293, 11220

Auto

21.8 7%

Teleop

198.4 63%

Endgame

93.8 30%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score109.8pts

Blue projected score328.6pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -218.9
Score range: 77–362
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 441 vs event baseline 183.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

366.6Season APEX470.5

-0.5Auto21.8

83.2Teleop198.4

24.8Endgame93.8

34Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	57
teleop	102	166
endgame	37	62
foul	0	5
total	151	290

Result

Final score

151 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 39.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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