Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

134.42 – 90.75

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

207 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 306.2 ±13.9

4944The Hi Fives

Season APEX 127.2Event APEX 88.23Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8334Titan Robotics

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX -4.09Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2945Steel Mustangs

Season APEX 103.7Event APEX 50.28Rank 36Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 275.2 ±17.2

9586Denbot

Season APEX 123.8Event APEX 92.27Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7737RaptorBotics

Provisional

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX -9.84Rank 53Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

159Alpine Robotics

Season APEX 69.9Event APEX 8.32Rank 55Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4944, 8334, 2945

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.4 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 4944, 8334, 2945

Auto

35.0 27%

Teleop

67.9 52%

Endgame

27.3 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9586, 7737, 159

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.8 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9586, 7737, 159

Auto

33.0 35%

Teleop

58.0 62%

Endgame

2.6 3%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.97 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score134.4pts

Blue projected score90.8pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 43.7
Score range: 58–167
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 265 vs event baseline 184.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

306.2Season APEX275.2

35Auto33

67.9Teleop58

27.3Endgame2.6

100Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	58
teleop	113	0
endgame	58	0
foul	15	0
total	207	58

Result

Final score

207 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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