Qualification · Qualification 55
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
252.19 – 94.02
88%12%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
303 – 180
Prediction correct · off by 68.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 492.5 ±12.8
Season APEX 134.6Event APEX 80.86Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 228.9Event APEX 119.73Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 129Event APEX 51.6Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 409.8 ±15.6
Season APEX 88.4Event APEX -1.51Rank 37Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 117.69Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1799Wired-Up!
Provisional
Season APEX 77.2Event APEX -22.16Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9301, 4593, 6702
73
/ 100 compatProjected
252.2 pts
~2.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 9301, 4593, 6702
Auto
27.4 11%
Teleop
163.0 65%
Endgame
59.3 24%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5493, 2486, 1799
42
/ 100 compatProjected
94 pts
~0.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 5493, 2486, 1799
Auto
27.1 29%
Teleop
48.9 53%
Endgame
16.0 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score252.2pts
Blue projected score94pts
Red win probability88%
Event bonus sample196alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 70%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 158.2
- Score range
- 61–285
- Upset likelihood
- 12%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
492.5Season APEX409.8
27.4Auto27.1
163Teleop48.9
59.3Endgame16
75Consistency57
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 38 |
| teleop | 190 | 79 |
| endgame | 90 | 28 |
| foul | 0 | 35 |
| total | 303 | 180 |
Result
Final score
303 – 180
Prediction correct · off by 68.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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