Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

179.67 – 259.07

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

209 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 362.7 ±12.2

7546Prepa Tec - MinerZ

Season APEX 150Event APEX 66.12Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10333Elevation

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 31.37Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1339Angelbotics

Season APEX 138.5Event APEX 82.18Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 482.8 ±16.9

9068The Chargers

A+

Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 230.76Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9552Rambotics

Provisional

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 28.33Rank 44Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10682Robo-Yotes

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX -0.02Rank 46Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7546, 10333, 1339

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.7 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 7546, 10333, 1339

Auto

67.2 41%

Teleop

69.7 42%

Endgame

27.8 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9068, 9552, 10682

/ 100 compat

Projected

259.1 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9068, 9552, 10682

Auto

56.4 23%

Teleop

133.7 56%

Endgame

50.1 21%

Strengths

· 9068 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.28 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score179.7pts

Blue projected score259.1pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -79.4
Score range: 147–292
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 432 vs event baseline 184.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

362.7Season APEX482.8

67.2Auto56.4

69.7Teleop133.7

27.8Endgame50.1

57Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	45
teleop	94	122
endgame	71	51
foul	0	5
total	209	223

Result

Final score

209 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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