Qualification · Qualification 52
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
502.81 – 134.58
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
410 – 227
Prediction correct · off by 92.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 678.3 ±9
Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 164.95Rank 12Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 131.65Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 206.21Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 341.5 ±13.9
Season APEX 138.3Event APEX 62.49Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 48.81Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 104.8Event APEX 23.28Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7421, 3354, 118
86
/ 100 compatProjected
502.8 pts
~2.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 7421, 3354, 118
Auto
73.5 15%
Teleop
295.5 59%
Endgame
129.3 26%
Strengths
- · 118 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 4%
Blue · 3648, 11220, 1410
49
/ 100 compatProjected
134.6 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 3648, 11220, 1410
Auto
32.3 23%
Teleop
57.4 41%
Endgame
49.6 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 4%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.76 · Blue 0.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score502.8pts
Blue projected score134.6pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample196alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 4%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 368.2
- Score range
- 102–536
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
678.3Season APEX341.5
73.5Auto32.3
295.5Teleop57.4
129.3Endgame49.6
125Consistency13
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 69 | 30 |
| teleop | 242 | 123 |
| endgame | 99 | 74 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 410 | 227 |
Result
Final score
410 – 227
Prediction correct · off by 92.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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