Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

108.44 – 113.1

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 256.9 ±16.5

10686Central Park Nightbots

Provisional

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 18.23Rank 52Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11025Garage Gang

Season APEX 55Event APEX 24.95Rank 39Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4293Komodo

Season APEX 136.2Event APEX 65.26Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284.6 ±19

1303WYOHAZARD

Provisional

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX -0.22Rank 43Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2261Casa Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX 18.65Rank 20Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4944The Hi Fives

Season APEX 127.2Event APEX 94.67Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10686, 11025, 4293

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.4 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 10686, 11025, 4293

Auto

0.7 1%

Teleop

63.5 72%

Endgame

24.6 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1303, 2261, 4944

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.1 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1303, 2261, 4944

Auto

35.9 31%

Teleop

64.7 56%

Endgame

15.2 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score108.4pts

Blue projected score113.1pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4.7
Score range: 75–146
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 176 vs event baseline 185.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

256.9Season APEX284.6

0.7Auto35.9

63.5Teleop64.7

24.6Endgame15.2

55Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	37
teleop	52	29
endgame	18	9
foul	0	20
total	81	95

Result

Final score

81 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.